07 Jul, 2009
The Ashes 2009: a Pom and a convict give their view
Posted by: TheAshesBlog.com In: Predictions| Tests
I thought I’d put up a couple of different angles on how things are shaping for The Ashes 2009. First up is a review from my father-in-law, a keen English cricket fan now living in Brisbane, Australia:
I think it will be close. Neither team looks a dominant force to me, though both are capable of playing winning cricket. If the wickets favour spin, I think England will probably win, though I rate Michael Clarke and Katich as good spinners, probably better than Hauritz. But it is unlikely that more than a couple of the pitches will help spinners much.
Lee was the best bowler on show from either side in that game at Worcester. He bowled very well indeed. But I understand that he will be out for the first two tests and anyway his record in Tests in England is rather poor. Harmison was the next best and looked pretty dangerous. Johnson was fairly ordinary, though I don’t doubt he will come good.
Both sides seem to have strong tail end batting, and I rather suspect that we will see the top order of both teams collapsing at times, only to be saved by numbers 7, 8, 9 and whoever. I suspect that England will bat Prior at 6 and Flintoff at 7, with Broad (an average of over 30 in Tests) at 8. Flintoff scored 93 for his county a week or so ago, so has some batting form behind him.
With regard to Hughes, he obviously is going to be roughed up with short balls and he might find it hard going early, but I think he is too good to fail often or fail for very long.
I understand that McGrath is forecasting a 5-0 Australian whitewash. But there, he usually does. He got it right last time in Australia, but very wrong in 2005. I can’t see either side winning by that kind of margin.
The weather is very good at the moment. It was hot for Wimbledon. But English weather ….
Here are my thoughts as an Australian fan:
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